CLARITY Act Odds Plunge to 16% as Key Democrats Reject Republican Draft Over Stablecoins and Tribal Gaming
September 15, 2026
The likelihood of Congress passing the CLARITY Act has dropped to 16% after key Democrats rejected the GOP's final offer. Objections from traditional banks regarding stablecoins and tribal gaming groups have further stalled the bill.
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DoubleZero Integrates Kalshi Real-Time Election Market Data to Support Institutional Trading Ahead of US Midterms
September 10, 2026
DoubleZero has integrated real-time election market data from Kalshi, providing institutional and automated traders with low-latency access to political probability metrics ahead of the U.S. midterms.
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Robinhood Strategic Expansion: Takes Equity Stakes in Crypto.com and OG.com to Drive Football Event Contracts
September 9, 2026
Robinhood has acquired equity stakes in Crypto.com and its $5B prediction market spinoff, OG.com, while routing college and pro football event contracts to Crypto.com’s CFTC-regulated venue.
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UK Regulator Explores Potential Reversal of Ban on Retail Prediction Markets
September 8, 2026
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority is reportedly reviewing its 2019 ban on retail prediction markets and binary options as global demand for event-driven trading platforms continues to rise.
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Polymarket Expands Into Crypto Derivatives with 20x Leveraged Perpetual Futures
September 3, 2026
Polymarket has expanded into crypto derivatives, launching 67 perpetual futures contracts with up to 20x leverage on Bitcoin, Tesla, gold, and major indices while blocking U.S. traders.
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Ninth Circuit Rules Kalshi Sports Contracts Aren’t Swaps, Sparking Federal Circuit Split
August 29, 2026
The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that Kalshi's sports event contracts are not swaps under federal law, paving the way for Nevada state gaming enforcement and creating a major federal circuit split.
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Senate Delays CLARITY Act as Cloture Skip Pushes Crypto Legislation Odds to 2027
August 19, 2026
With Senate leadership skipping a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act, prediction markets have slashed the odds of U.S. crypto market structure legislation passing this year, pushing expectations to 2027.
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Prediction Market Consolidation: Trepa and Fireplace Shut Down as Polymarket and Kalshi Command 93% of Volume
August 19, 2026
Two prediction market startups, Trepa and Fireplace, announced simultaneous shutdowns as Polymarket and Kalshi consolidate 93% of total market volume. Users have until Sept. 30 to withdraw funds.
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Prediction Market Search Interest Drops 83% Post-World Cup as Kalshi Gains Market Advantage over Polymarket
August 18, 2026
Search interest for prediction markets has dropped 83% from its World Cup peak. Despite declining public queries, platforms like Kalshi are cementing dominant trading volume over Polymarket.
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