Navigating CFTC Event Contract Rules: Swaps, Gambling Laws, and the Future of Prediction Markets
October 15, 2026
An in-depth guide to the CFTC's evolving event contract rules, exploring swap definitions, the casino-wager exclusion, and the legal battles between federal oversight and state gambling laws.
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CFTC Advances New Rules Classifying Event Contracts as Swaps to Clarify Prediction Market Oversight
October 10, 2026
The CFTC has proposed rules explicitly categorizing event contracts as swaps, providing regulatory clarity for prediction markets while maintaining exchange duties and excluding casino-style gaming.
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Kalshi Investigates Potential Insider Trading on White House Press Secretary Bet
October 10, 2026
Kalshi is investigating suspicious trades placed on its prediction market right before media reports revealed Donald Trump's pick for White House Press Secretary.
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Coinbase Expands Event Derivatives with 15-Minute and Hourly Crypto Price Markets
October 7, 2026
Coinbase has introduced 15-minute and hourly crypto price prediction markets for Bitcoin, Ether, and eight other tokens, leveraging regulated contracts listed alongside Kalshi.
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Federal Preemption Takes Center Stage as Kalshi and Coinbase Score Partial Court Victory in Illinois
October 3, 2026
A federal court in Illinois has issued a partial ruling supporting Kalshi and Coinbase, finding that state licensing rules on sports event contracts likely conflict with federal derivatives law.
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Kalshi Files to End Volume Incentive Program Amid Liquidity Structure Adjustments
September 30, 2026
Prediction market platform Kalshi has filed to end its volume incentive program, clarifying how reward pools function and addressing clustered trading activity in Ether perpetual contracts.
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Kalshi Eyes $40 Billion Valuation in Landmark $1 Billion Funding Talks
September 30, 2026
Kalshi is reportedly in talks to raise $1 billion in new capital at an astonishing $40 billion valuation. Backed by major firms like Sequoia and Wellington, the exchange is capitalizing on a massive surge in demand for regulated prediction markets.
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Vitalik Buterin Backs Trueo’s Strategic Move to Ethereum Mainnet as TRUE Token Surges 900%
September 23, 2026
Vitalik Buterin praised prediction market protocol Trueo as ethical following its announcement to deploy on Ethereum mainnet, sparking a 900% rally in the TRUE token.
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Trade Size Anomaly Raises Questions Over Kalshi Ethereum Perpetual Market Volume
September 21, 2026
Public API data from Kalshi reveals that a single repeating trade size accounts for a major share of its Ethereum perpetual futures volume, sparking debates over market incentives and wash-trading concerns.
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Polymarket Recruits Ex-Zora CEO Jacob Horne for Major Onchain Infrastructure Push
September 18, 2026
Polymarket hires former Zora CEO Jacob Horne to lead onchain product development while rebuilding its central limit order book in Rust to solve scaling challenges.
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