Navigating CFTC Event Contract Rules: Swaps, Gambling Laws, and the Future of Prediction Markets

October 15, 2026

An in-depth guide to the CFTC's evolving event contract rules, exploring swap definitions, the casino-wager exclusion, and the legal battles between federal oversight and state gambling laws.
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CFTC Advances New Rules Classifying Event Contracts as Swaps to Clarify Prediction Market Oversight

October 10, 2026

The CFTC has proposed rules explicitly categorizing event contracts as swaps, providing regulatory clarity for prediction markets while maintaining exchange duties and excluding casino-style gaming.
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Kalshi Investigates Potential Insider Trading on White House Press Secretary Bet

October 10, 2026

Kalshi is investigating suspicious trades placed on its prediction market right before media reports revealed Donald Trump's pick for White House Press Secretary.
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Kalshi Launches US 500 Perpetual Futures, Bringing Non-Expiring Index Trading to Regulated Markets

October 7, 2026

Kalshi has launched a non-expiring US 500 perpetual futures contract featuring daily funding rates and up to 15.3x leverage, introducing crypto-native derivative mechanics to regulated U.S. equity markets.
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CFTC Staff Unveils Streamlined Framework for Stock-Index Perpetual Conversions

October 6, 2026

CFTC staff has introduced a fast-track pathway allowing derivatives exchanges to convert stock-index contracts into perpetual structures, provided traders receive five days' notice and key contract terms remain unchanged.
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Federal Preemption Takes Center Stage as Kalshi and Coinbase Score Partial Court Victory in Illinois

October 3, 2026

A federal court in Illinois has issued a partial ruling supporting Kalshi and Coinbase, finding that state licensing rules on sports event contracts likely conflict with federal derivatives law.
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Kalshi Files to End Volume Incentive Program Amid Liquidity Structure Adjustments

September 30, 2026

Prediction market platform Kalshi has filed to end its volume incentive program, clarifying how reward pools function and addressing clustered trading activity in Ether perpetual contracts.
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Kalshi Eyes $40 Billion Valuation in Landmark $1 Billion Funding Talks

September 30, 2026

Kalshi is reportedly in talks to raise $1 billion in new capital at an astonishing $40 billion valuation. Backed by major firms like Sequoia and Wellington, the exchange is capitalizing on a massive surge in demand for regulated prediction markets.
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Trade Size Anomaly Raises Questions Over Kalshi Ethereum Perpetual Market Volume

September 21, 2026

Public API data from Kalshi reveals that a single repeating trade size accounts for a major share of its Ethereum perpetual futures volume, sparking debates over market incentives and wash-trading concerns.
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Kalshi Joins Race for U.S. Stock Perpetual Futures with New CFTC Filing

September 20, 2026

Kalshi has filed for U.S. regulatory approval to launch stock perpetual futures, joining Coinbase and Bitnomial in bringing crypto-style derivatives to traditional equities.
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